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Sweet Science Sports (S³) · NFL Season Preview

2026 Atlanta
Falcons Season Preview

Rise Up: New Era Under Stefanski

8–9 in 2025 · S³ Projection: 11–6

By Sweet Science Sports (S³)•2026 NFL Season

🏟️ Home Stadium

Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Capacity
71,000
Expandable
83,000

Expandable to 75,000+ and as many as 83,000 for marquee events.

2025 Team Snapshot

Record
8–9
Division
3rd NFC South
Points Scored
353 (20.8 PPG)
Points Allowed
401 (19th)
Offense
Scoring (PPG)24th (20.8)
Total Yards5,661
Passing Yards3,523
Rushing Yards2,138
Defense
Points Allowed401 (19th)
Yards Allowed5,553
Forced Turnovers23

⭐ Offensive Stars

QB
Michael Penix Jr.
Yards1,982
TD / INT9 / 3
QB
Kirk Cousins
Yards1,721
TD / INT10 / 5
RB
Bijan Robinson
Rush YDS1,478
Rush TD7
REC79
REC YDS820
Receiving
Pitts928 yds
London919 yds
Bijan820 yds

Bijan Robinson is one of the NFL's most versatile offensive weapons. Kyle Pitts (88 REC, 928 YDS, 5 TD) and Drake London (68 REC, 919 YDS, 7 TD) form a dangerous pass-catching duo.

🛡️ Defensive Leaders

Sacks
James Pearce Jr.10.5
Brandon Dorlus8.5
Jalon Walker5.5
Tackles
Kaden Elliss107
Jessie Bates III98
Xavier Watts96
Interceptions
Xavier Watts5
Jessie Bates III3
DeAlundre Alford3

🏈 2026 Coaching Staff

Front Office
President of FootballMatt Ryan
General ManagerIan Cunningham
Senior AdvisorBob Quinn
Offensive Staff
Offensive CoordinatorTommy Rees
Passing Game CoordinatorTanner Engstrand
QB CoachAlex Van Pelt
RB CoachMichael Pitre
WR CoachRobert Prince
TE CoachKevin Koger
OL / Run Game CoordinatorBill Callahan
Defensive Staff
Defensive CoordinatorJeff Ulbrich
Def. Passing Game CoordinatorPatrick Toney
Defensive LineNate Ollie
LinebackersBarrett Ruud
Outside LinebackersJohn Timu
SecondaryJustin Hood
Special Teams
Special Teams CoordinatorCraig Aukerman

🔥 2026 Offseason Additions

Draft Class
CB
Avieon Terrell
WR
Zachariah Branch
LB
Kendal Daniels
DL
Anterio Thompson
LB
Harold Perkins Jr.
G
Ethan Onianwa
Key Free-Agent Additions
✅Tua Tagovailoa (QB)
✅Jahan Dotson (WR)
✅Azeez Ojulari (EDGE)
✅Austin Hooper (TE)
✅Olamide Zaccheaus (WR)
✅Brian Robinson Jr. (RB)

Offensive Weapons

QB
Michael Penix Jr.
Tua Tagovailoa
RB
Bijan Robinson
Brian Robinson Jr.
WR
Drake London
Kyle Pitts
Jahan Dotson
Zachariah Branch
TE
Austin Hooper

Defensive Core

James Pearce Jr.
Jalon Walker
Brandon Dorlus
Kaden Elliss
Jessie Bates III
Xavier Watts

S³ Team Breakdown

Offense

Atlanta has an explosive backfield led by Bijan Robinson, a developing quarterback in Michael Penix Jr., and quality pass catchers in Drake London and Kyle Pitts. The addition of Tommy Rees and Bill Callahan should help improve offensive efficiency.

Defense

Jeff Ulbrich's defense has playmakers at every level. James Pearce Jr. provides pass-rush upside, while Jessie Bates III and Xavier Watts give Atlanta one of the better safety duos in football.

✅ Biggest Strength
✅Elite rushing attack
✅Athletic defense
✅Young offensive core
❌ Biggest Concern
❌Quarterback consistency
❌Red-zone passing production
❌Finishing close games

NFC South Outlook

★Atlanta Falcons
Division contender · 11–6 projected
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Transition year, 9–8 projected
Carolina Panthers
Heading in the right direction
New Orleans Saints
Improving, QB-dependent

📊 S³ 2026 Prediction

S³ Projected Record
11–6
Ceiling
12–5
NFC South Champions
Floor
9–8

S³ Outlook

Kevin Stefanski brings structure and offensive balance to a roster with plenty of talent. If Michael Penix Jr. takes the next step and the revamped coaching staff quickly establishes its system, Atlanta has the pieces to compete for the NFC South title and return to the playoffs.

S³ Schedule Report · 2026 NFL Season

Atlanta Falcons

2026 Regular Season Schedule

Regular Season

Week
Opponent
Location
TV
Wk 1
Pittsburgh Steelers
Away
Wk 2
Carolina Panthers
Home
Wk 3
Green Bay PackersKEY
Away
TNF
Wk 4
New Orleans SaintsKEY
Away
MNF
Wk 5
Baltimore RavensKEY
Home
SNF
Wk 6
Chicago Bears
Home
Wk 7
San Francisco 49ers
Home
Wk 8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Away
Wk 9
Cincinnati Bengals
Madrid, Spain
INTL
Wk 10
Kansas City Chiefs
Home
BYE
BYE
—
Wk 12
Minnesota Vikings
Away
Wk 13
Detroit Lions
Home
Wk 14
Cleveland Browns
Away
Wk 15
Washington Commanders
Away
Wk 16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Home
Wk 17
New Orleans Saints
Home
Wk 18
Carolina Panthers
Away

S³ Primetime Games

TNFWK 3at Green Bay PackersPrime Video
MNFWK 4at New Orleans SaintsESPN
SNFWK 5vs Baltimore RavensNBC/Peacock

International Game

INTL

Week 9 vs Cincinnati Bengals

Madrid, Spain · 9:30 AM ET

S³ Toughest Stretch

Weeks 3–5

Wk 3at Green Bay Packers
Wk 4at New Orleans Saints
Wk 5vs Baltimore Ravens

Three straight playoff-caliber opponents with two road games and a primetime matchup against the Ravens.

NFC South Games

Carolina Panthers

Wk 2 — Home

Wk 18 — Away

Road finale in Carolina.

New Orleans Saints

Wk 4 — Away

Wk 17 — Home

MNF showdown in Week 4 at New Orleans.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk 8 — Away

Wk 16 — Home

Division split between Tampa and Atlanta.

Notable Matchups

WK 3

at Packers

WK 5

vs Ravens

WK 7

vs 49ers

WK 9

vs Bengals (Madrid)

WK 10

vs Chiefs

WK 12

at Vikings

WK 13

vs Lions

WK 15

at Commanders

S³ Schedule Notes

Week 11 bye provides a midseason reset after the brutal Weeks 3–5 opener stretch.

Atlanta gets all six NFC South division games spread throughout the season rather than packed into one stretch.

The Falcons face the Ravens, Chiefs, Lions, 49ers, Bengals, Packers, Vikings, Commanders, and division rival Buccaneers twice.

International trip to Madrid in Week 9 as the designated home team against Cincinnati.

The midseason stretch from Week 8 through Week 15 could determine whether Atlanta is competing for the NFC South title or fighting for a Wild Card spot.

S³ Schedule Rating

Challenging

A schedule featuring playoff contenders from the AFC North, NFC North, and NFC West, plus an international trip to Spain.

© 2026 Sweet Science Sports (S³). All Rights Reserved.

The Sweet Science Sports S³BR Football System — including O/R²T, D/R²T, ORt₹, DRt₹, Offensive Standards (OS), Defensive Standards (DS), Responsibility Ratings, S³ Performance Standards, terminology, symbols, notation, scoring methodology, weighting systems, proprietary formulas, algorithms, calculations, evaluation framework, visual presentation, and written documentation — are the original intellectual property of Randy Woodall and Sweet Science Sports (S³).

No portion of this system may be reproduced, reverse-engineered, modified, distributed, published, or used commercially without prior written permission.

Version: S³BR Football System v1.0  •  Created: July 2026  •  Author: Randy Woodall  •  Organization: Sweet Science Sports (S³)